So it seems that
* efforts at containment of covid-19 have failed
* it's out of China and will soon be everywhere
* r0 may be at the higher end of the range: ~ 5 +
* lethality may be much higher than we hoped
so : feces hitting the fan, medium hard
>>>
#preppertalk
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2/ Not as in "ZOMG, end of the world", but as in maybe "ZOMG, maybe gonna hit Spanish Flu levels here in the west, and put a noticeable dent in the baby boomers". So wife and I are discussing the trigger for if / when we "turtle up" and stop leaving the farm.
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3/ I mean, maybe we don't - go about life as normal, have a 50+% chance of catching it, then just suffer fever and vomiting for 2 weeks. We're young-ish & healthy-ish. But maybe we try to avoid that and hole up. Trick is, given latency, you've gotta hole up before it's obvious
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4/ We've already got food for a year or two, and savings that let us get by even if our remote gigs go sideways for a month or a year. So really the only big question is "when to turtle up". I'm not sure. It could be as early as 2-3 weeks from now. Keeping an eye peeled.
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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted vermindust
5/ If we turtled it would be with the goal of making it ~6 months or so, until a vaccine becomes available.https://twitter.com/vermindust/status/1228088913656344577 …
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,
vermindust @vermindustReplying to @MorlockPand if every survivor is a carrier, you cannot hole up forever. I live a modest city and will just have to catch it and take my chances. If it turns out that the chinese are burning the bodies so they do not rise up and eat the living, i promise to leave you for last.4 replies 0 retweets 28 likesShow this thread -
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted willow 🌱
6/ I've been RTing a lot of it, but let me dig up some detailshttps://twitter.com/willow_liana/status/1228089146083880960 …
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,
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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted COVID19 💙 💛
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,
COVID19 💙 💛 @V2019NScott Gottlieb, former commissioner of the FDA said there are “certainly cases we don’t know about” in the US and he called for expanded testing because we’re “capturing 25% of cases at best.”“We’re going to see those outbreaks start to emerge in the next two to four weeks.”Show this thread4 replies 4 retweets 23 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @MorlockP
Just an observation, this covid19 acct is hiding tweets on that thread from ppl that seem to know exactly what they're talking about.
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