ok, just got 50% of my retirement account out of S&P500 index leaving it as cash while I ponder
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2/ <laces running shoes> I don't have to be faster than you, I just have to be faster than the bears.
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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted vector (fish angel)
3/ To back up a bit, you can bet on an individual stock, or the market as a whole, at any degree of leverage (multiplier) from, say, -10 to +10. To get +10 you borrow money and buy stocks. To get +1 you buy stocks. To get 0, you stay in cash >>>https://twitter.com/BonbonFork/status/1230600252157243393 …
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vector (fish angel) @VectorOfBasisReplying to @MorlockPSo the idea is that markets could go down a lot and money kept in retirement account would get devalued? But you don't know what will happen so don't want to loose interest on all money if everything goes okay (i.e. not catastrophic disruption after Corona) ?2 replies 0 retweets 7 likesShow this thread -
To get -1, you short a stock. To get -N, you borrow money and ... So anyway, I had
$X in index funds. i.e. my bet was 1x re the market. I'm still bullish long term, but concerned short term. So I went from 1x to 0.5x.1 reply 0 retweets 8 likesShow this thread -
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted Jack Rabbit
5/ meh I am generally not convinced by arguments of the form "I say do X".https://twitter.com/somecaveman/status/1230600710078644225 …
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@ByrneHobart makes a much more compelling argument for doing EXACTLY THAT by talking about "camel distributions".1 reply 0 retweets 6 likesShow this thread -
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted tom hynes
7/ There have certainly been a few periods where the multi-decade compounded return on the market have been < 0, clustering around the Great Depression. But I'm not getting out of the market, nor am I staying out for very long. Just reducing exposurehttps://twitter.com/tom_hynes/status/1230602133331828736 …
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tom hynes @tom_hynesReplying to @MorlockPI am guessing you are about 40. Goal of retirement is to die before your money runs out, call it 90, or you have 50 year horizon. Over what 50 year period has it been better to be in cash than SP500, after inflation and dividends? What is longest period cash > SP500?3 replies 0 retweets 8 likesShow this thread -
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted LCDR Fish Loves Flicks
8/ I don't understand any part of this.https://twitter.com/FishLikesFlicks/status/1230604476601524224 …
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Replying to @MorlockP @ByrneHobart
You get the most amazing unsolicited advice.
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This is what happens when part of your brand is "so far along the spectrum you've redshifted"
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