5/ meh I am generally not convinced by arguments of the form "I say do X".https://twitter.com/somecaveman/status/1230600710078644225 …
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6/
@ByrneHobart makes a much more compelling argument for doing EXACTLY THAT by talking about "camel distributions".1 reply 0 retweets 6 likesShow this thread -
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted tom hynes
7/ There have certainly been a few periods where the multi-decade compounded return on the market have been < 0, clustering around the Great Depression. But I'm not getting out of the market, nor am I staying out for very long. Just reducing exposurehttps://twitter.com/tom_hynes/status/1230602133331828736 …
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tom hynes @tom_hynesReplying to @MorlockPI am guessing you are about 40. Goal of retirement is to die before your money runs out, call it 90, or you have 50 year horizon. Over what 50 year period has it been better to be in cash than SP500, after inflation and dividends? What is longest period cash > SP500?3 replies 0 retweets 8 likesShow this thread -
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted LCDR Fish Loves Flicks
8/ I don't understand any part of this.https://twitter.com/FishLikesFlicks/status/1230604476601524224 …
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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted vector (fish angel)
9/ If you can pay your mortgage off entirely, do that. If you can't, make an emergency fund of as many months of mortgage payments as you can, and keep it liquid (a checking account).https://twitter.com/BonbonFork/status/1230609191456382976 …
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,
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10/ Chance of being unemployed for 12 months is a lot lower than of being unemployed for 6 months. Chance of 6 is lower than chance of 3 months, etc. ...and you're almost guaranteed to be unemployed for 1 month at some point. decreasing marginal utility to emergency savings
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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted Tu quoque
11/ Let's say that there's a Ford plant in Michigan which assembles cars. Computer dash unit comes from China. Ford has a 10 day supply on hand. China factory calls up says "expect no shipments for 60 days". Ford shuts down the assembly line.https://twitter.com/The_Hinton/status/1230626235837014017 …
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,
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12/ Just for 60 or 90 days or whatever. But as part of that, they furlough 10,000 workers (who no longer buy breakfast at the six Dunkies near the factory), and they stop buying seatbelts & seats & bumpers from other factories for 90 days. Those factories furlough another 5k
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13/ Ford calls up the Wall Street analysts and gives them "guidance" saying "our year over year profit was going to be +3%, but is now expected to be +1.5%".
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Replying to @MorlockP @ByrneHobart
I know exactly what your next tweet is going to be and can confirm that for a few years, my compensation was >50% stock.
1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
I hate wasted words, so if you already know, I won't bother typing!
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