65/ * inevitability of contracting it (if we're all getting it eventually, why bother?) * reinfection possibility (getting it once = immunity scenarios differ from waves-of-disease scenario) * ability to shelter in place
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66/ * alternative locations - does your uncle have a country place that used to be a farm before the motor law? * ability to work remotely / live off of savings * tolerance for f2f social isolation * likelihood of vaccine being developed in 6 / 12 / 36 months
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67/ Some of these parameters differ from person to person, and I don't know your dial settings. Others are known unknowns. There are unknown unknowns that - definitionally - I haven't even listed.
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68/ The one think I'm relatively confident about is that choosing the time to bug out / turtle in is going to be very hard to nail down precisely, because it's going to be - in retrospect - about 2-3 weeks before you realize it's time. REEEEEEE
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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted vector (fish angel)
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,
vector (fish angel) @VectorOfBasisMetaculus: median prediction of number of#coronavirus infected before 2021 is 3.01M today, a 23% increase from yesterday https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3529/how-many-human-infections-of-the-2019-novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-will-be-estimated-to-have-occurred-before-2021-question-two/ … https://twitter.com/BonbonFork/status/1230181915669516288?s=20 … pic.twitter.com/sA2ZpFAoQ92 replies 0 retweets 5 likesShow this thread -
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,
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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted Señor Bob
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72/ On a tangent: I'd love to be a fly on the wall inside Amazon boardroom. I guarantee you that they see both threat and potential in this. As people shun human contact during the pandemic, they're well positioned. I'll bet big money that they're developing plans for >>>
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73/ decontamination protocols inside their warehouses and for their delivery trucks, stockpiling respirators for delivery staff, etc etc etc Giving strong consideration to buying Amazon stock right now, even at the insane P/E
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Replying to @MorlockP
vector (fish angel) Retweeted
I wonder how, say, a year-long disruption of supply chain affects such investment scenarios? https://twitter.com/SuperMugatu/status/1230562561201819650?s=19 …
vector (fish angel) added,
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this was actually the thread that got me to pull the trigger
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Replying to @VectorOfBasis
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs
ah, thought you were responding to thishttps://twitter.com/MorlockP/status/1230587074681720835 …
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