Shorter: I don't think there's much chance that party elites are going to overrule voters if Bernie has a decent plurality, which is what he currently looks headed for.
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To which a follower responds "sounds like the democratic party should get behind sanders and win the general then" which, yes, but there's a hitch: Bernie's M4A will run into a lot of resistance from unions and senior citizens. Just try winning PA, MI, WI or OH without 'em
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He's also apt to scare suburban moderates who don't want to pay higher taxes in order to lose their employer-sponsored health insurance. Those folks were the Democratic victory margin in 2018's midterm sweep.
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Just not clear he makes up enough ground in the white working class to run that table. The WWC *likes* Trump. Supporters camped out for a day and a half here in Phoenix to see him last night.
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The four moderates are re-enacting the Kasich strategy of 2016, throwing a Hail Mary towards a brokered convention and hoping they'll be the one with the most moderate votes, even if fewer than Bernie, if they can only outwait them.
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(them being the other moderates)
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Problem: Warren has now realized that she will never. ever. pick up enough Bernie voters, and is now desperately scrambling to get into the moderate lane. The more people do this, the more the non-Bernie vote fragments, and the harder it will be to force a moderate on the ticket.
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Bigger problem: With California now on the Super Tuesday ballot, waiting doesn't get you as much as it once did; you have fewer opportunities to pick up a lot of delegates late.
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Biggest problem: one of the five is a billionaire who cannot be forced from the race until he's good and ready to leave. Candidates don't fold because they've rationally assessed their chances; they fold because they run out of money.
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Which leads me to ask: what the heck did all the non-Bernie candidates think they'd gain by climbing all over Bloomberg? Were they trying to scare off his donor?
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> his donor lol, well played
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