On which side.
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Replying to @robinhanson @MorlockP
Against, sorry. Reasoning, death start piling up they'll smash through development barriers on vaccines. Plus we've no news on existing antivirals
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Replying to @thehandbehindt1 @MorlockP
So you might bet your $1000 against my $100, or your $100 against my $10?
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Replying to @robinhanson @MorlockP
If you bet 100 I'd give you 1100 if deaths =/> 10milliion
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Replying to @thehandbehindt1 @MorlockP
I'll accept that offer if it is still open, denominated in $ I presume. Happy to accept a CDC declared # for the total
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Replying to @robinhanson @MorlockP
I'm tempted but it seems a little ghoulish so will pass.
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Replying to @thehandbehindt1 @robinhanson
it's not remotely ghoulish to make predictions about the future this is a weird social norm / taboo that is, I assert, actively bad
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Replying to @MorlockP @robinhanson
Well, put it this way, I'd rather not deal with other's opinion of me, at very least.
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Replying to @thehandbehindt1 @MorlockP
Does that mean you don't like the scenario where you are publicly shown to have been wrong?
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Replying to @robinhanson @MorlockP
I don't like the idea of speculating on body counts, as peculiar as that might seem.
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it's not peculiar - it's widespread I think it's deep cultural, if not wired into our DNA. Spergs seem to be less affected by this. I can imagine good social reasons why signalling tribal loyalty or related phenomena by avoiding this activity might be selected for
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