So it seems that
* efforts at containment of covid-19 have failed
* it's out of China and will soon be everywhere
* r0 may be at the higher end of the range: ~ 5 +
* lethality may be much higher than we hoped
so : feces hitting the fan, medium hard
>>>
#preppertalk
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Replying to @MorlockP
I've seen good studies showing r-0 of 4.5 and mortality of 14.5% for people over 80 years old. It seems to ignore people under age 15. Preferentially deadly to smokers and anyone with lung disease. 4.5% mortality for adult males, on average.
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Replying to @planetaryjim
yep ; I call out those numbers down thread
6:09 AM - 20 Feb 2020
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