So it seems that
* efforts at containment of covid-19 have failed
* it's out of China and will soon be everywhere
* r0 may be at the higher end of the range: ~ 5 +
* lethality may be much higher than we hoped
so : feces hitting the fan, medium hard
>>>
#preppertalk
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2/ Not as in "ZOMG, end of the world", but as in maybe "ZOMG, maybe gonna hit Spanish Flu levels here in the west, and put a noticeable dent in the baby boomers". So wife and I are discussing the trigger for if / when we "turtle up" and stop leaving the farm.
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3/ I mean, maybe we don't - go about life as normal, have a 50+% chance of catching it, then just suffer fever and vomiting for 2 weeks. We're young-ish & healthy-ish. But maybe we try to avoid that and hole up. Trick is, given latency, you've gotta hole up before it's obvious
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4/ We've already got food for a year or two, and savings that let us get by even if our remote gigs go sideways for a month or a year. So really the only big question is "when to turtle up". I'm not sure. It could be as early as 2-3 weeks from now. Keeping an eye peeled.
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Replying to @MorlockP
What do you think is a good trigger for “when to temporarily leave a major metro area”? I’m going with “when the CDC says it’s spreading in the community in the US”, but I’m not sure if that’s right.
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Good question! Let me sleep on it and respond tomorrow.
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