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MorlockP's profile
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs
@MorlockP

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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs

@MorlockP

Two-time Prometheus award-winning hard science fiction author. https://www.amazon.com/dp/B005JPPMS6  Learn how to homestead https://www.amazon.com/dp/B093BC3K1T 

Aristillus Crater, Luna
amazon.com/dp/B005JPPMS6
Joined June 2012

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    1. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 14 Feb 2020

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted

      48/ it's already starting. via @relicn0cer https://twitter.com/ISCResearch/status/1226474163780583429 …

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    2. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 14 Feb 2020

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted Alexander Kruel

      49/https://twitter.com/XiXiDu/status/1228349598160302080 …

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,

      Alexander Kruel @XiXiDu
      Replying to @robinhanson @MorlockP
      Saw a press conference with the top German experts yesterday and they unanimously said that a vaccine won't be ready before 2021.
      2 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
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    3. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 14 Feb 2020

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted

      50/ 1.5% death rate in < 60 5.3% death rate > 60 divide by 2 or 5 or 10 or whatever for western countries because cleaner air, less smoking, better health care https://twitter.com/Fred_Watson_II/status/1228314798053613575 …

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    4. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 14 Feb 2020

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted Michael C. Bender

      51/https://twitter.com/MichaelCBender/status/1228335868202672129 …

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,

      Michael C. BenderVerified account @MichaelCBender
      Harvard public heath prof Mac Lipsitch, on coronavirus: “It is likely we’ll see a global pandemic...If a pandemic happens, 40% to 70% of people world-wide are likely to be infected in the coming year.” https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-many-people-might-one-person-with-coronavirus-infect-11581676200 …
      1 reply 1 retweet 6 likes
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    5. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 14 Feb 2020

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted

      52/ https://twitter.com/Scholars_Stage/status/1228362910185000960 …

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    6. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 14 Feb 2020

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted

      53/ https://twitter.com/Scholars_Stage/status/1228362912403795973 …

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    7. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 14 Feb 2020

      54/ Also, time to re-read @slatestarcodex's "Thrive vs Survive" essay. If the pandemic hits the US hard, I expect to see a strong turn away from SJW-ism and internationalism, and towards America-first nationalism.https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/03/04/a-thrivesurvive-theory-of-the-political-spectrum/ …

      2 replies 2 retweets 20 likes
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    8. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 14 Feb 2020

      55/ Might as well read the not-great-but-solid John Ringo novel "Centurion". > In the second decade of the twenty-first century the world is struck by ... a plague to dwarf all previous experiences. 🤔https://www.amazon.com/Last-Centurion-John-Ringo/dp/1439132917 …

      2 replies 4 retweets 17 likes
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    9. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 14 Feb 2020

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted

      56/ https://twitter.com/daxidor/status/1228393487734689792 …

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    10. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 14 Feb 2020

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted

      57/ https://twitter.com/daxidor/status/1228393888609525760 …

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      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 14 Feb 2020

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted

      58/ prepping for suburban soccer moms, a thread --> (I endorse all of this) https://twitter.com/unorthodoxxxy/status/1228424265252212738 …

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      1:19 PM - 14 Feb 2020
      • 2 Retweets
      • 12 Likes
      • "Doctor" Quixotic Prescient Analysis Àdhamh Cynebeald vector (fish angel) Dr. Rupert, Z Warrior, Toddler Wrangler 🇷🇺 Lawyer Dog Daniel Klein Hate Follows Joel Suovaniemi
      5 replies 2 retweets 12 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 14 Feb 2020

          59/ Pessimistic thoughts: R0 could be 11 Mortality rate could be 10%https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/02/14/wuhan-coronavirus-wuwt-update/ …

          6 replies 1 retweet 9 likes
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        3. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 15 Feb 2020

          60/ Good blog post from @shylockh https://shylockholmes.blogspot.com/2020/02/the-covid19-death-rate-is-much-higher.html …

          3 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
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        4. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 17 Feb 2020

          61/ Interesting blog post on why the CFR (case fatality rate, i.e. fatality rate) of COVID-19 may be a lot higher than 2%. http://avatorl.org/en/novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-fatality-rate-who-and-media-vs-reality/ …

          1 reply 1 retweet 5 likes
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        5. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 17 Feb 2020

          62/ My bet remains that (a) it ** IS ** a lot higher than 2% ... in China (b) it will be around 2% in the west

          2 replies 1 retweet 6 likes
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        6. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 20 Feb 2020

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted vector (fish angel)

          63/https://twitter.com/BonbonFork/status/1230484970168344576 …

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,

          vector (fish angel) @VectorOfBasis
          Replying to @MorlockP
          From Imperial College London's MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis has released Report 5: Phylogenetic analysis of SARS-CoV-2 "epidemic doubling time of approximately seven days" https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College---COVID-19---genetic-analysis-FINAL.pdf … pic.twitter.com/aVKEH1gGDw
          2 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
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        7. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 20 Feb 2020

          64/ I had a question from @s_r_constantin a few days ago - more or less "when should a city dweller bug out / bug in ?". I've been pondering this a lot. I don't have a good answer. It depends on a few things:

          1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
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        8. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 20 Feb 2020

          65/ * inevitability of contracting it (if we're all getting it eventually, why bother?) * reinfection possibility (getting it once = immunity scenarios differ from waves-of-disease scenario) * ability to shelter in place

          2 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
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        9. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 20 Feb 2020

          66/ * alternative locations - does your uncle have a country place that used to be a farm before the motor law? * ability to work remotely / live off of savings * tolerance for f2f social isolation * likelihood of vaccine being developed in 6 / 12 / 36 months

          3 replies 0 retweets 11 likes
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        10. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 20 Feb 2020

          67/ Some of these parameters differ from person to person, and I don't know your dial settings. Others are known unknowns. There are unknown unknowns that - definitionally - I haven't even listed.

          1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
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        11. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 20 Feb 2020

          68/ The one think I'm relatively confident about is that choosing the time to bug out / turtle in is going to be very hard to nail down precisely, because it's going to be - in retrospect - about 2-3 weeks before you realize it's time. REEEEEEE

          1 reply 0 retweets 21 likes
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        12. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 20 Feb 2020

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted vector (fish angel)

          69/https://twitter.com/BonbonFork/status/1230483325359443970 …

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,

          vector (fish angel) @VectorOfBasis
          Metaculus: median prediction of number of #coronavirus infected before 2021 is 3.01M today, a 23% increase from yesterday https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3529/how-many-human-infections-of-the-2019-novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-will-be-estimated-to-have-occurred-before-2021-question-two/ … https://twitter.com/BonbonFork/status/1230181915669516288?s=20 … pic.twitter.com/sA2ZpFAoQ9
          2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
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        13. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 20 Feb 2020

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted

          70/ yep https://twitter.com/enginoire1/status/1230488034753351681 …

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        14. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 20 Feb 2020

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted Señor Bob

          71/https://twitter.com/Bobthewelding1/status/1230488333974896640 …

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,

          Señor Bob @Bobthewelding1
          Replying to @MorlockP
          Surely there must be an out of work farmhand this time of year...
          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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        15. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 20 Feb 2020

          72/ On a tangent: I'd love to be a fly on the wall inside Amazon boardroom. I guarantee you that they see both threat and potential in this. As people shun human contact during the pandemic, they're well positioned. I'll bet big money that they're developing plans for >>>

          1 reply 0 retweets 12 likes
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        16. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 20 Feb 2020

          73/ decontamination protocols inside their warehouses and for their delivery trucks, stockpiling respirators for delivery staff, etc etc etc Giving strong consideration to buying Amazon stock right now, even at the insane P/E

          5 replies 0 retweets 13 likes
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        17. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 20 Feb 2020

          74/ DM from @gaitanalyst The one thing I would kinda universalize: parents of small kids would be well advised to have a plan for getting their kids out of preschool. I’ve already called all my siblings about this. Preschool or day care >>>

          2 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
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        18. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 20 Feb 2020

          75/ ...Respiratory viruses are more lethal under 4 and wayyyyy more lethal under <END RT>

          6 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
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        19. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 21 Feb 2020

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted

          76/ https://twitter.com/Scholars_Stage/status/1230891002984046599 …

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        20. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 21 Feb 2020

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted

          77/ https://twitter.com/Scholars_Stage/status/1230892647780356099 …

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        21. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 21 Feb 2020

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted

          78/ https://twitter.com/Scholars_Stage/status/1230892649420410880 …

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        22. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 21 Feb 2020

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted

          79/ https://twitter.com/Scholars_Stage/status/1230892650624098304 …

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        23. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 21 Feb 2020

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted

          80/ https://twitter.com/Scholars_Stage/status/1230892651962126336 …

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        24. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 21 Feb 2020

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted

          81/ https://twitter.com/COVID_19NEWS/status/1230787369483169792 …

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        25. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 21 Feb 2020

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted

          82/ I've been saying this a lot. Right now, masks are hard to get, but bleach, ozone generating machines, pallets of peanut butter / pasta / canned sauces ... all of this stuff is available with free 2-day delivery from Walmart. Tomorrow, though? https://twitter.com/Scholars_Stage/status/1230893418940895234 …

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,

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        26. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 21 Feb 2020

          83/ COV19 panic is going to hit like bankruptcy: "slowly at first, and then all at once".

          3 replies 3 retweets 17 likes
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        27. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 21 Feb 2020

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted 𝔻𝕦𝕩 𝔹𝕖𝕝𝕝𝕠𝕣𝕦𝕞

          84/ I saw a news article this morning along the lines of "CDC has declared Covid19 an XYZ, and bureaucratic rules say that that means that only FDA approved tests are official, and there are no FDA approved tests". So ... measurement errors, I suspect.https://twitter.com/Face_Almighty44/status/1230918475322970114 …

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,

          𝔻𝕦𝕩 𝔹𝕖𝕝𝕝𝕠𝕣𝕦𝕞 @Face_Almighty44
          @MorlockP the official US total for Covid cases has been at 15 for what, a week? Is it safe to assume there is no way in heck it is accurate? Incompetence or Malfeasance if not?
          4 replies 0 retweets 13 likes
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        28. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 21 Feb 2020

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted Theodore R. Smith

          85/ this is finehttps://twitter.com/hopeseekr/status/1230143497707061248 …

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,

          0:30
          Theodore R. Smith @hopeseekr
          We've lost the #CoronaVirus War: US woman admits on national TV they both lied about not having symptoms and got on a plane to Omaha,, where they are not quarantined but living open. These people need to be ARRESTED AT ONCE, using same laws that convict ppl having sex w/ HIV-1! pic.twitter.com/oUftChO6b3
          Show this thread
          2 replies 3 retweets 9 likes
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        29. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 21 Feb 2020

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted jonstokes.(com|eth)

          86/ good side thread on how the markets are (or, rather, aren't) reacting to #Covid19 @jonst0kes doesn't quite come out and say it, but I think subtext is "this is real, the results will be real, and 99% of people are blind to it for historical reasons"https://twitter.com/jonst0kes/status/1230911959937245192 …

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,

          jonstokes.(com|eth) @jonst0kes
          Still thinking about this thread in light of my own portfolio, & this tweet in particular. If you tried to trade bearish on macro events the past few years (Brexit, Eurozone crisis, whatever) you lost. Low rates & easy money > all. https://twitter.com/SuperMugatu/status/1230566569140539392 …
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          2 replies 1 retweet 7 likes
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        30. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 23 Feb 2020

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs

          87/ 9 days ago I saidhttps://twitter.com/MorlockP/status/1228342755258175493 …

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs @MorlockP
          47/ The first guy to prep gets to pick anything he wants. The last 50% of the people who want to prep see this when they go shopping: https://twitter.com/Kenneth_St_Cyr/status/1228342520859496448 …
          Show this thread
          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
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        31. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 23 Feb 2020

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs

          88/ 2 days ago I saidhttps://twitter.com/MorlockP/status/1230893657282240513 …

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,

          ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs @MorlockP
          82/ I've been saying this a lot. Right now, masks are hard to get, but bleach, ozone generating machines, pallets of peanut butter / pasta / canned sauces ... all of this stuff is available with free 2-day delivery from Walmart. Tomorrow, though? https://twitter.com/Scholars_Stage/status/1230893418940895234 …
          Show this thread
          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
          Show this thread
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