24/ So based on this data, we can expect total coronavirus cases to double every 1 week. dcc 1000000000 64437 2 12 ^ * / p 12 weeks / 3 months from today we can expect 25% of the Chinese population to be infected, and ~6 million corpses
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25/ I'm going to assume that US has a low rate of increase - 5% per day, not 10%. That means our doubling time is 2 weeks, not 1 week. 12 weeks out we have 6 doublings 15 * 2^6 = ~750 cases I'm guessing that we see a vaccine in < 6 months. I don't think US is hit too hard
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26/ China, though?https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M8VRbaVNvSA&t=43m40s …
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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted Señor Bob
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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted
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29/ I'm not BETTING on things going absolutely terrible, but reminder: the following is STILL ON THE TABLE * 200 M dead in China * 400 M dead in Africa * 10 M dead in US * 10 M dead in Europe I'd bet against this at, say, 20:1 or 30:1 ...but it's within the bellcurve, I think
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30/ RT
@SaucercrabZero I am re-upping my position: Treat this seriously. As of now the Normies are still un-spooked in the US, so there's no panic. Don't panic. Just do your basic-bitch prepping, food, water, medicine, toiletries.6 replies 0 retweets 40 likesShow this thread -
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted Lou Smeet
31/ I've seen assertions both ways. No opinions yet.https://twitter.com/CornChowder76/status/1228330227656511489 …
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Lou Smeet @CornChowder76Replying to @MorlockPHave you found any semi-reliable statistics or research related to how race factors into susceptibility? I couldn’t find much, but this link is interesting - no idea if it is at all reliable. It says susceptibility involves ACE2 receptors https://bit.ly/2vwEtbO pic.twitter.com/AnMolIF3jA2 replies 0 retweets 14 likesShow this thread -
32/ US doubling every 7 days, vaccine 18 months out, means EVERYONE gets it. 2% death rate (my guess for US) = 6M US deaths US doubling ever 14 days, vaccine 18 months out, means 3M people get it. 2% death rate = 60k deaths (i.e. 20 days worth of car accidents)
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oops, did I drop a decimal place or something ? still, the point is, noticeably but not society altering
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