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3/ or, rather: there COULD be a conspiracy, but "people have preferences, and what we see is TRIVIALLY explainable by those preferences" is the easiest explanation, and Ockham's razor suggests that we not grope for a second one if (a) we don't need to (b) there's no data
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4/ the SPECIFIC problem I have w conspiracy theories is they posit a connection between incentives to sell cheap junk food and fact that it "makes people sick". As if doctors or politicians or someone wants consumers to eat Fritos bc that makes >>> https://twitter.com/unorthodoxxxy/status/1222191413279903744 …
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5/ people easier to control (for politicians) or helps doctors and pharma companies sell medicines. There is no such link proven, and it's a bit hard to imagine a huge conspiracy like that. What we can SEE is simple and explains a ton:
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6/ * food companies make money when they buy cheap ingredients and sell at a markup * carbs are cheap * carbs are really really tasty, especially when fried & salted * marketing works and food cos are incentivized to do it voila! simple theory and every fact is true and proven
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7/ so given that we can pull annual reports of food companies and see that they say all of these facts themselves, and the incentives align, and the communication from finance dept to marketer to product designer to shareholder is legal, profitable, and societally approved ...
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8/ why would we POSSIBLY want to create an alternate hypothesis that says "there are connections between junk food producers and the medical community. Such connections are illegal, unethical, the amounts of money would be hard to disguise, and yet we have no documentation
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9/ of either cash flows or coordination, but TRUST ME, there's no chance that the doctors and pharma industry aren't encouraging FritoLay to produce snacks that will cause inflammation and join wear 30 years down the road" ...why would we ponder that second hypothesis?
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10/ But the problem is that the initial tweet does far more than promote a healthy lifestyle. If
@EdLatimore tweeted "eat more meat, lift more", I'd be there to like and RT. But he didn't. He said "Don't think for one moment it's any coincidence..." https://twitter.com/unorthodoxxxy/status/1222192067318730753 …ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,
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11/ and the greater problem I see here is that people embrace positions for mood affiliation or tribal signalling. person X says "product Q is bad and don't think for a second that THEY don't know this and WANT you to have side effects R"
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12/ and people RT bc (a) yes, Q is bad, (b) their tribe is partially arranged around the thesis that Q is bad and the opposite of Q is good. ...which ... is quite distinct from the more complex (and incorrect) thing that they're RTing. It's a Vaclav Havel's greengrocer >>>
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13/ https://www.nonviolent-conflict.org/resource/the-power-of-the-powerless/ … ...but organized bottom up, not top down.
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