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MorlockP's profile
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs
@MorlockP

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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs

@MorlockP

Two-time Prometheus award-winning hard science fiction author. https://www.amazon.com/dp/B005JPPMS6  Learn how to homestead https://www.amazon.com/dp/B093BC3K1T 

Aristillus Crater, Luna
amazon.com/dp/B005JPPMS6
Joined June 2012

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    1. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 23 Jan 2020

      3/ I suspect that the political structure would - de factor or de jure - adapt to the challenge. When half of your population is dead, there's no time for OSHA or EPA to get in the way of keeping the lights on. If the regulatory environment is dampening US economy by ~ 30% now

      2 replies 0 retweets 17 likes
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    2. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 23 Jan 2020

      4/ I think that a lot of the reduction in output caused by pure death toll could be immediately compensated for with (de facto) de regulation.

      3 replies 0 retweets 19 likes
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    3. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 23 Jan 2020

      5/ I think we'd also see a collapse in the BS economy. As firms struggle to survive, and has the regulatory regime changes, HR / diversity / universities likely take a much bigger headcount hit that, say, manufacturing or transport.

      2 replies 0 retweets 24 likes
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    4. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 23 Jan 2020

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted North Korean Liberation Front

      6/ yep, this is exactly where I was goinghttps://twitter.com/TheTriarii/status/1220378828989706241 …

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,

      North Korean Liberation Front @TheTriarii
      Replying to @MorlockP
      Also, not to sound too detached when talking about tragedies, but workers' wages would probably rise. Saw it in the aftermath of the Black Death in Europe, and even saw it in the US colonies where the population was sparse for other reasons.
      5 replies 0 retweets 24 likes
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    5. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 23 Jan 2020

      7/ everyone talks about how capital is taking a bigger slice of the rewards pie now than labor, but a 50% death rate pandemic acts sort of like UBI / yang bucks / whatever, by making same capital chase after much rarer labor. Labor is scarce, returns go up.

      4 replies 0 retweets 23 likes
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    6. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 23 Jan 2020

      8/ but getting back to economic / technological collapse, if we lost ~ 40% of the population, I think we'd do OK. At that level, networks still heal, is my hunch. But at some level, maybe around there, certain types of tech get abandoned. We likely stop launching satellites.

      4 replies 0 retweets 17 likes
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    7. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 23 Jan 2020

      9/ Chip fabs, at least some of them, close. Chip fabs and software depend on economics of scale. Ship half as many units, and you can't run at a profit. Not all of them, tho. I think we'd stay in the 21st century. ...but maybe not advance processor or RAM tech for 50 years.

      3 replies 0 retweets 19 likes
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    8. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 23 Jan 2020

      10/ Software sector probably shrinks ... but maybe not? with labor scarce, perhaps returns to automation CLIMB ? Fewer coders working on websites, more on robots ?

      4 replies 0 retweets 19 likes
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    9. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 23 Jan 2020

      11/ This is all at some number - I'm saying 40% death rate, world wide. Maybe I'm wrong. Maybe these effects are at 25-30%, and 40-50% is actually a whole new level / type of reaction Instead of falling back to ~ 2005 tech, maybe the next level causes us to fall back to 1960?

      3 replies 0 retweets 12 likes
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    10. John G  ☦️‏ @JohnGild88 23 Jan 2020
      Replying to @MorlockP

      Can we keep the lights on with a death toll of 40%?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 24 Jan 2020
      Replying to @JohnGild88

      Yes, that is what my thread is about

      4:20 AM - 24 Jan 2020
      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes

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