Your understanding of Bayesianism is such that we should conclude that American men made up less than 50% of the people who walked on the moon, because American men make up 2% of the world's population. This...is not good Bayesianism.https://twitter.com/cosmicdog/status/1202035848117673984 …
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I did not say that the number was 2%, just that they would be a minority.
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