this is part of an argument I've made before: Steve Pinker, etc. are naive to say that there is a secular decline in war because of our nature. we might be shifting CURVE of war: reducing likelihood of medium & large wars, and increasing the risk (from 0%?) of INSANELY HUGE oneshttps://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1153765033949745152 …
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Nah. If I thought that the probability of a major war is high enough, I'd go to New Zealand.
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Of course Taleb has a paper arguing just this point
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Thanks, but I don't really feel like ending up in court.
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What area (broadly speaking)?
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Man, now I want to write a steampunk civil war alt-history with steam-driven mechs ...
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Imma build SO CLOSE to your property line you dont even know
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If it were to happen soon I’m leaning towards deca Lincoln level of happening
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