this is part of an argument I've made before: Steve Pinker, etc. are naive to say that there is a secular decline in war because of our nature. we might be shifting CURVE of war: reducing likelihood of medium & large wars, and increasing the risk (from 0%?) of INSANELY HUGE oneshttps://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1153765033949745152 …
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4/ As Clarkhat used to say: "gigadeaths are coming".
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5/ Anyway, I'm structuring my life for antifragility, so that I'd have a decent chance of doing OK in a Lincoln level war (3% of US population murdered) or even a deca-Lincoln war (30% killed). Real estate near me isn't that expensive. Wouldn't you like to be my neighbor?
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