23/ Please define for me what data or argument I could provide that would meet your standards for a causal connection. If I can find data / make the argument, I will. https://twitter.com/TBDenham/status/1135578333163319296 …
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34/ There are extra variables in EVERYTHING. Not every gay man gets HIV. Not every wingsuit person crashes into a mountain. Not every heroin injector has a bad outcome. Not every cloistered nun avoids getting murdered. https://twitter.com/TBDenham/status/1135585240427065344 …
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35/ It is tho. https://twitter.com/TBDenham/status/1135585477635977216 …
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36/ You're 2/3 correct, but you're saying it in a confused way. Have you ever done coding of data, or multivariate regressions? If p(x) is associated w gender & males are more likely to x, then we might code female as 0 and male as 1, and call 1 "risk" https://twitter.com/TBDenham/status/1135587716031115267 …
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37/ So if we're trying to look at dying by self inflicted gunshot, we'd say p(x) = 0.002 x g + 0.003 x h + ... where 0.002 is the risk coefficient associated with being male, and g is 0 for female and 1 for male and 0.003 is the risk coefficient for some other trait and h ...
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38/ So in this example, no, we would NOT say that being female is a risk factor. We would say that being male is a risk factor. So it's not, contrary to your framing, the case that EVERYTHING is a risk factor.
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39/ 1) I wasn't being snide. 2) the debate is not, and has never been (scroll up!) over whether gays can choose to be gay or not. The debate has only EVER been over whether homosexuality is a risk factor. https://twitter.com/TBDenham/status/1135603752637935618 …
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40/ Also, you casually say that "obesity is controllable". question for you: is the success rate of long term weight loss better or worse than that of "conversion therapy"?
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41/ Also, re "risk factors" and "but if someone is X and they can't change X..." We all understand that being Jewish is a risk factor for Tay Sachs disease, right? That being black is a risk factor for sickle cell anemia? That being Native American is a risk factor for alcoho-
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Genetic disorders cannot be changed. Therefore genetic disorders have no risk factors, i guess.
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