Senpai noticed me!https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1078392081389887488 …
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2/ "The biggest blunder, however, is that no one in the book imagines using antigrav tech on Earth." My response is that the Earth governments are deep in the grip of Keynesianism / technophobia >> cc
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3/ Some of the villains are the paper pushers at "The Bureau of Sustainable Research", who suppress R&D (including by use of "Great Firewall of China" technology, which is only briefly alluded to) because of twin fears of (a) hard takeoff AI (b) automation killing jobs
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4/ The rapid growth of the Aristillus is based on: * immigration (GDP measures productivity times population) * capital flight from Earth * removal of deadweight costs imposed by terrible regulations * selection effects: Aristillus attracts 10x performers
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5/ Re "Corcoran messes this up a bit by adding two more magic techs: one superintelligent AI, and a few dozen smarter-than-human dogs. Oh and the same small group implausibly happens to be responsible for saving all three magic tech from destruction." ...
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No, its not remotely plausible that one group finds a way to make a superintelligent AI, and there's no trace of higher intelligence in any other software seen.https://intelligence.org/ai-foom-debate/
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I tend to think that Hanson has a point. Incentives to leak the tech are very high. C.f. Recreation of atom bomb by Soviet Union, etc OTOH: * under sufficient repression, things are bad. Were there even small black markets under Pol Pot? * novel wanted to tell a certain story
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