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I think @Noahpinion is basically arguing that because America is made up of whites (baseline crime rate) & blacks (5x white crime rate), adding illegal aliens (1.5x white crime rate) lowers the average RATE of crime by diluting the black population, even as it increases crime https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1032621169692663813 …
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so we can / do / should make as good decisions as possible, using as much data as possible. So: we look askance at people who have committed 1 murder. This is unfair! Many will never commit another. Ideally we'd let in murderers who will never commit another. ...but we don't
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...because we can't get that level of knowledge, so we fall back on "well, 20% of people who murder once murder again" (or whatever the stat is) and keep them out.
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