Some thoughts: I think collapse is more likely in the future than an Voluntary society
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I think the collapse starts with the Feds finally going bankrupt. The debt spending no longer can go on and its finally exposed
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Sure the Feds will try to keep its workforce going but I think there will see a mass exodus of its employees who get to points that their bills have to be paid
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States will see that Fed money is no longer coming and will most likely form blocks if they cant outright secceed by themselves
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Example: Main, Vermont, Mass, CT and New Hampshire form its own country as opposed to Texas and California becoming their own countries by themselves
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However it is quite possible other states joining up with Texas or California, but I also believe both states can stand on it's own two feet
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Depending on the economic polices that either state inact will show who lives on the long term
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California essentially has a clear path to what would be the top economic powerhouse in the world aka China with the US breaking up
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They also have a direct route with trade with Mexico. But this advantage would only work if they re-enact free trade which they would do out of spite because Trump is a protectionist
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If Oregon and Washington State choose to also merge with California also theoritcally opens the trade route with Canada
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CA would find it easier to trade w .ca via ship than trucks, either way
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