However, the prior is potentially counterbalanced by exponentially greater sims in a universe able to produce many sims
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Replying to @The_Lagrangian
@The_Lagrangian Also have to account for complexity of locating *you* (complexity is observer-centric). So simulation is less probable. Ithk1 reply 1 retweet 0 likes -
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Replying to @The_Lagrangian
@The_Lagrangian I'm saying the increased count doesn't count for much, because it's always counter-balanced by "harder to locate me here".1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @FrameOfStack
@The_Lagrangian It depends how you handle anthropic reasoning. But if you just use straight Solomonoff, I think simulation is improbable.2 replies 1 retweet 0 likes -
Replying to @FrameOfStack
@FrameOfStack have you/other ppl read Bostrom's book on anthropic reasoning? is it good?1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
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Replying to @FrameOfStack
@The_Lagrangian I think that if we exist both in and out of a sim, then it's incorrect to give a probability that we're the ones in the sim.6 replies 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @FrameOfStack
@FrameOfStack@The_Lagrangian If your guess is right you get 10 cookies and wrong you get a dust speck in the eye.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @MoralOfStory
@MoralOfStory@FrameOfStack the existence of this bet assumes that there are relevant observable differences b/w the sim and the "real"1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
@The_Lagrangian @FrameOfStack I think it just assumes outside judge. Individual copies of you by definition can't observe diffs in the sims.
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Replying to @MoralOfStory
@MoralOfStory@FrameOfStack well, sort of. after the bet is resolved you now have evidence of being in sim2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @The_Lagrangian
@MoralOfStory@FrameOfStack the fact that you *can* have a memory of evidence of being in a sim but *don't* is evidence against3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes - 8 more replies
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