NEW YORK CD19 POLL: US House election
All potential voters:
@DelgadoforNY19 (D) 45
@RepJohnFaso (R) 43
Likely voters:
Standard model - Delgado 48 / Faso 45
Dem-surge model - Delgado 49 / Faso 43
#NY19 #Midterms2018https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NY_091218/ …
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Nice. Im pretty happy with these numbers.
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Interesting
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@RyanC0217
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It means is a toss-up. Look at polling from VA Gov from 2017.
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Nice to get a decent number in this district. Shows that not all is lost here just yet.
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Delgado in a good spot.
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@PollsterPatrick: so the 'standard' is all voters since 2010 + new registrants? -
Potential voters are "voters who have participated in an election since 2010 or have newly registered to vote (a group that represents about 81% of all registered voters in the district)." Likely voter models are subsets of that pool based on past vote history and engagement.
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