Lots of people mocking Thomas Friedman's latest op-ed on Mohammed bin Salman's possible modernization of Saudi Arabia. Just because Friedman has been about about almost everything doesn't mean he's wrong about this. Even a blind squirrel finds a nut from time to time.
I wasn't being sarcastic. By default, there are infinitely many ways to be wrong, but only one way to be wrong, so the odds are stacked against us. If you asked him if the world was flat and he said no, would you think the world was flat?
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I am worthless. Only one way to be right.
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It all depends on the type of question/space of possibilities. E.g. world can be flat, round, pear shaped, etc but GDP can go only up or down. Also, the more universal the statement, the more true what you wrote. But particular questions move closer to 50/50.
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