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Molson_Hart's profile
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
@Molson_Hart

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Molson Hart

@Molson_Hart

CEO at http://amazon.com/viahart . CEO at http://edisonlf.com . I tweet about business, e-commerce, supply chain, health, law, & infrastructure

Austin, TX
Joined July 2015

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    1. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 11 Oct 2017
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      Replying to @gsvigruha

      Yeah I was just being facetious. Fukuyama is a damn good example. Capitalist democracy is not a Nash equilibrium (if you are a general!)

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 11 Oct 2017
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @gsvigruha

      I don't fully understand The Great Illusion. I think there is merit to the idea that trade between countries prevents war.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Gergely Svigruha‏ @gsvigruha 11 Oct 2017
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      He published it in 1910 and developed the thesis that war in Europe was very unlikely...

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. Gergely Svigruha‏ @gsvigruha 11 Oct 2017
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      Replying to @gsvigruha

      Global trade was at its highest ever except for now before WWI.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 11 Oct 2017
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      Replying to @gsvigruha

      Measured how? On a percentage basis? I would think that every year after the advent of containerization would have higher trade.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Gergely Svigruha‏ @gsvigruha 11 Oct 2017
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      I think %/GDP, let me check this. But no, global trade was def lower after WWII for a while and maybe during the interwar years too.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 11 Oct 2017
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      Replying to @gsvigruha

      I mean, that would be expected though right? That alone doesn't falsify the idea that international trade deters war.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Gergely Svigruha‏ @gsvigruha 11 Oct 2017
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      If you have a few data points (wars) and infinite variables (society) nothing really proves or falsifies anything. Point is we don't know.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 11 Oct 2017
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      Replying to @gsvigruha

      I agree with more or less everything you wrote. That said, qualitatively, ignoring our limited data, ceteris paribus, should deter war.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Gergely Svigruha‏ @gsvigruha 11 Oct 2017
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      Maybe we should take this off twitter, but i'm also not convinced it's necessarily the case in principle.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 11 Oct 2017
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      Replying to @gsvigruha

      Yeah 140 char no good. Hit me up next time you see me I guess? Alternatively, here's basically my thinking:

      5:39 PM - 11 Oct 2017
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        1. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 11 Oct 2017
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          Replying to @Molson_Hart @gsvigruha

          Trade between two countries => dependence and familiarity in those 2 countries, which both create disincentives to war.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        2. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 11 Oct 2017
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          Replying to @Molson_Hart @gsvigruha

          I checked out your graphs. Yes, trade has a local peak before WWI but as you said, we have a sample size of 2?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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