Have you read Ubiquity from Mark Buchanan? It covers a lot of this stuff, plus it's not too verbose.
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Some heuristics: if obscure now but was popular before -> rubbish. 1/2
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The bible is out then. I can't really think of many examples of this (definitionally) - can you? I know about lindy effect.
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I just thought of sg, domain matters. In physics new discoveries depend on latest tech, in human/social domain not so much (old can work)
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sg? Perhaps in physics, but not in invention or engineering field. Old stuff can work wonders there. Discovery of oil for example.
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