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Molson_Hart's profile
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
@Molson_Hart

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Molson Hart

@Molson_Hart

CEO at http://amazon.com/viahart . CEO at http://edisonlf.com . I tweet about business, e-commerce, supply chain, health, law, & infrastructure

Austin, TX
Joined July 2015

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    1. Ari Schulman‏Verified account @AriSchulman Jun 17
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      This is stunning. In New Jersey, 12 percent of nursing home residents died of Covid.https://www.propublica.org/article/fire-through-dry-grass-andrew-cuomo-saw-covid-19-threat-to-nursing-homes-then-he-risked-adding-to-it …

      87 replies 1,546 retweets 2,056 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Jun 17
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      Replying to @AriSchulman

      How could that be possible? That would imply that every single nursing home patient, with a cfr of 10%, got covid? Doesn't make sense.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. BLACK LIVES MATTER‏ @zedism Jun 17
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @AriSchulman

      For the elderly the death rate for the infected is much higher than 10%

      3 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
    4. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Jun 17
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      Replying to @zedism @AriSchulman

      Looks right around there to mepic.twitter.com/A9hsblWotD

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. the ghost of tom joaker‏ @peter__stern Jun 17
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @zedism @AriSchulman

      So it looks like the fatality rate is even higher for patients in nursing homes than in the broader population.

      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    6. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Jun 17
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      Replying to @peter__stern @zedism @AriSchulman

      How much higher? If you assume 2x then you basically need to assume that 50% of all nursing home patients got it. Seems too high.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. the ghost of tom joaker‏ @peter__stern Jun 17
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @zedism @AriSchulman

      No not really. Prevalence has gotten that high in a number of close confinement hot spots.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    8. Steve  🐕 ☕️‏ @steveexplosion Jun 18
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      Replying to @peter__stern @Molson_Hart and

      For *any* given age, a person in a nursing home will be of worse health than their peers who aren't in nursing homes. If they were still capable of unassisted living, they'd not be in nursing homes. It doesn't seem at all outlandish that even 75% of patients would be exposed.

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    9. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Jun 18
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      Replying to @steveexplosion @peter__stern and

      Point 1 good. Not sure about point 2.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Steve  🐕 ☕️‏ @steveexplosion Jun 18
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @peter__stern and

      It's really hard to contain these sorts of things, especially when places are understaffed. Lot of people are in contact with one another. A lot of people get sick in *hospitals* because of how things spread. Nursing homes aren't kept to the same standards.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Jun 18
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      Replying to @steveexplosion @peter__stern and

      Sure once it’s in the whole place gets it, but you really think every single nursing home was that incompetent about preventing original transmission?

      7:30 AM - 18 Jun 2020
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Steve  🐕 ☕️‏ @steveexplosion Jun 18
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          Replying to @Molson_Hart @peter__stern and

          Every single? No. As an industry? Yeah. There's a lot of corner-cutting that tends to happen because care is expensive, and infirm elderly tend to not have a lot of money. This disease is also pernicious in that it's transmissible for as much as a week before symptoms appear.

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Christopher Olin‏ @ChrisOlin Jun 18
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          Replying to @steveexplosion @Molson_Hart and

          A lot of nursing home staff work in multiple facilities in a single week. Hard to stop it from spreading if such a worker is transmitting pre-symptomatically.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. End of conversation

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