I think there would be significantly less debate on these issues if people had a better understanding of statistics, causality, and 2nd order effects. This comment is equivalent to "the tiger has not killed anyone at the zoo, therefore we can get rid of the cage."https://twitter.com/samswey/status/1268541943501463552 …
First, you're misrepresenting what I said. I didn't call him a bullshitter. Second, you're oversimplifying my argument. My argument is much more akin to, I have 33 years of experience telling me the conclusions of this study are false. Check this:https://twitter.com/DellAnnaLuca/status/1268556541948391424 …
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re 1: I take it back, apologies. re 2: This is very similar to what those campus kids we like to mock do: my experiences invalidate our studies. Life experiences cannot refute a studies unless the conclusions are so strong and categorical that a single counterpoint is enough.
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>2 Disagree. See Taleb's "grandmother wisdom" argument. I've been in business for over 10 years, profitable for last 7, 2 companies. Oversight changes behavior hires and vendors. I've basically run that study over and over and over again. Maybe I'm wrong, but...nah I'm not.
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