Thought about it this morning. Without a cure, vaccine, or evidence that the virus doesn’t give you permanent immunity we’re going to be having lockdowns on and off for years.
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Pretty sure this is right. Masks, social distancing, etc just increase the time between lockdowns (absent cute, vaccine etc). https://twitter.com/molson_hart/status/1249140441364209664?s=21 …https://twitter.com/Molson_Hart/status/1249140441364209664 …
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Btw, I should’ve made it clear that this is the situation in the USA. Island countries or places with totalitarian governments can have a different sequence play out.
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The more I think about this the more I am confused. If an American wants to travel to a foreign country which has managed covid well, they’re going to have to pay for a double covid test and then wait 3 days minimum in isolation. Just don’t see the light at end of tunnel here.
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I don’t really feel like spending the next 2-3 years in semi quarantine in the United States. Maybe I should just move to Taiwan or New Zealand or something to live a normal life until this nonsense passes.
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I've heard this idea called the "Hammer and the Dance." https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-the-dance-be9337092b56 … If I'm reading you right.
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I didn’t read it but I just scanned it. Based on that I don’t think I agree. It’s impossible in a country like America to “smash the curve” and I don’t agree with how he drew his graphs. We’re going to get lots of spikes in a mitigation strategy.
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