@mlipsitch wouldn't we have observed higher serology estimates most places by now if the Los Alamos doubling times (even given slowed transmission post intervention) were accurate, given when community transmission began?
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A 2 week cycle seems high. In the Skagit County cluster, people who got sick had symptoms within five days and most were at 3 days post exposure:https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6919e6.htm#T1_down …
In that case, the 5.7 r0 is totally believable and may be a bit low, before controlling for increased mask usage.
