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Molson_Hart's profile
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
@Molson_Hart

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Molson Hart

@Molson_Hart

CEO at http://amazon.com/viahart . CEO at http://edisonlf.com . I tweet about business, e-commerce, supply chain, health, law, & infrastructure

Austin, TX
Joined July 2015

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    1. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart May 13
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      Molson Hart Retweeted Miguel Hernán

      Bad news for the global economy and people at risk who've not yet survived the bug.https://twitter.com/_MiguelHernan/status/1260625031119409156 …

      Molson Hart added,

      Miguel HernánVerified account @_MiguelHernan
      BREAKING NEWS: Preliminary results of Spain's seroprevalence study #ENECOVID. >60,000 participants Antibodies for #SARSCoV2: 5% of Spanish population 11% in region with highest incidence (Madrid) So far from herd immunity in country with 2nd largest number of cases after U.S. https://twitter.com/desdelamoncloa/status/1260612372877754368 …
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
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    2. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart May 13
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      Some back of the envelope math: 5% of total Spanish Population has been infected. You probably need 10-15x that to get to a situation where so many people have had it that the virus' r0 is below 1 and thus dies out. 27,000 people have died in Spain so far, so we could guess that

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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    3. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart May 13
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      Spain probably has another 270,000 to 400,000 people to die. Comparing countries is apples to oranges, but I'd guess that the US' serological prevalence is lower than Spain's. Feels pretty likely that we're going to shoot right through the feds' worst case of 240k deaths in USA.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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    4. TheCreditBubble‏ @TheCreditBubble May 13
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      There's a lot of data pointing to a ~1% population-wide fatality rate. The "just the flu" people are nuts.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    5. TheCreditBubble‏ @TheCreditBubble May 13
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      Replying to @TheCreditBubble @Molson_Hart

      The open borders ideologues wouldn't let us keep the virus out of the country and the small business grifters want to let it rip through.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart May 13
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      Replying to @TheCreditBubble

      All the data and the logic is pointing to the government lockdown being redundant after taking into consideration most people’s behavior. Even if we open up the economy is fucked.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    7. TheCreditBubble‏ @TheCreditBubble May 13
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      Dangerous to live in a society that can't beat a pandemic. Suppose this was a Chinese bioweapon - I think they've seen that if they roll a new one out every year or two, the U.S. isn't going to be able to bother them about Taiwan anymore.

      4 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
      Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart May 13
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      Replying to @TheCreditBubble

      Yeah, if I'm Taiwan, I am definitely looking at contingency plans after this.

      12:56 PM - 13 May 2020
      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes

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