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Bad news for the global economy and people at risk who've not yet survived the bug.https://twitter.com/_MiguelHernan/status/1260625031119409156 …
Some back of the envelope math: 5% of total Spanish Population has been infected. You probably need 10-15x that to get to a situation where so many people have had it that the virus' r0 is below 1 and thus dies out. 27,000 people have died in Spain so far, so we could guess that
Spain probably has another 270,000 to 400,000 people to die. Comparing countries is apples to oranges, but I'd guess that the US' serological prevalence is lower than Spain's. Feels pretty likely that we're going to shoot right through the feds' worst case of 240k deaths in USA.
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