Can I question the underlying premise? How do we know we are less innovative now?
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Replying to @mgirdley
Absolutely. We don't, but it kind of seems that way? Have you seen this? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Great_Stagnation …
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Replying to @Molson_Hart
1) Change always seems slower when in it, faster in retrospect. 2) I don't buy his premise - no more arable land wat? - how does he explain all the growing KPIs of innovation like startup counts? His points seem cherry-picked. (Above is based on the wiki summary so....)
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Replying to @mgirdley
2) I've heard the opposite. Company formation is down. I mean the basic idea is that if you think about all the innovations that went down between 1850 and 1970, it's crazy. 1970 to now is much more muted. We're still basically just commercializing Xerox Parc stuff.
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Replying to @Molson_Hart
Company formation is not a measure of innovation nor impact. Somewhat. What about all the random stuff that you don't even consider? Boosted boards, microwaves that are GOOD+cheap, electric lawnmowers, etc. All last 30 years.
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Replying to @mgirdley
Come on. Boosted boards? Those dumb remote control skateboards? Compare that to the steam engine, airplane, car, locomotives, supersonic jets, toilets, crazy amounts of medical innovation, television, internet, etc.
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Replying to @Molson_Hart
For the century it took to do those, we have a corresponding set of innovations since 2000. Web 2.0/3.0 Blockchain Cloud Javascript* (ok close to 2000!) .. and those are just in tech. They're everywhere beyond that.
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Replying to @mgirdley
Web 2.0 is not bad Jury is out on blockchain's value for the world Cloud is awesome Javascript seems pretty mediocre Mobile internet I think is the biggest one you didn't mention.
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Replying to @Molson_Hart
As we dig into these, I'd argue now that innovation has INCREASED versus the times you mention. Here's one: We're talking on a global platform where people send one to many text messages. Or we have another where a course on ANYTHING is available for free (Youtube).
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Replying to @mgirdley @Molson_Hart
I could go on and on. My premise is that we're living in a world of innovation -- but we have a psychological bias that we are in it so we don't realize what's happening. The proverbial "boiling versus scalded frog."
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That’s a good point but you’d agree that hardware innovation has majorly slowed right?
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Replying to @Molson_Hart
How so? We have: exoskletons for cheap (See
@trexorobotics) iphones robotic warehouses cheap solar and a bonus one: no airplane crashes in the US in decades. I'd argue it's just as much in hardware innovation.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @mgirdley @trexorobotics
Something that was invented before becoming cheaper an innovation, unless there was a major drop. AFAIK there has not been for solar. China coming online isn't really innovation. iPhones are cool, for sure. Same with robotic warehouses. Still think innovation has slowed.
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