Molson Hart

Let’s talk about Sweden and the coronavirus. While it’s easy to find pictures of galavanting Swedes (publication bias) it’s hard to get real data that gives a sense of what’s happening on the ground there. Happy to be corrected, but it looks like a fairly tough lockdown.

Their economy is also, just like everyone else’s, fucked. Yeah it doesn’t help that everyone around them has a strict lockdown (more strict?) but still. They’ve had to do bailouts like the rest of us. Further, while the infection and death data has been pretty muted, it still

~40% of Stockholm has/had SARS2. Death count is lagged in two ways. Reported #s come in late and some current cases will die. So perhaps the real number is 5k deaths. By the time this is over that might be 10-15k deaths? This isn't what people thought SARS2 was mid-march.

Sweden can pretty much go back to normal in a month with their strategy. That isn't economic calamity. Most cities don't need to change anything or have anything closed with this new info.