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As a business owner, even if your business is not hurting, the coronavirus is such an unknown that you're tempted to dial back everything you do, whether it's hiring or investment. When in doubt, hedge - get less ambitious. That bodes poorly for the economy.
A month ago I was all like "when everyone is fearful, be greedy and when everyone is greedy, be fearful." After maybe 7 years of greedy, we had 1-2 weeks of fearful, and we're right back to being greedy. Really gives me pause...
Where are you observing greedy? I see greed on the financial markets, but fear in the real economy. Large co’s weren’t “properly” hit in Q1 earnings and they know it will show a dent in Q2, hence cutting down on cost.
Public markets, employees choosing to remain on unemployment over taking available jobs, and a little bit of private market sellers not adjusting downwards expectations.
In ‘09, it was when everyone had “given up” that the opportunities really presented themselves, I found.
Farrrr from that if we ever get there (imho, we will)
Our business has been experiencing solid numbers with our 4th best March and 4th or 5th best April in over 40 years. With changes to our industry coming I am bullish on 2021 in spite of the economic head winds that are forming.
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