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Molson_Hart's profile
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
@Molson_Hart

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Molson Hart

@Molson_Hart

CEO at http://amazon.com/viahart . CEO at http://edisonlf.com . I tweet about business, e-commerce, supply chain, health, law, & infrastructure

Austin, TX
Joined July 2015

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    1. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart May 1
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      Replying to @gsvigruha @CRobska

      Uh...have you seen land values in Silicon Valley? Doesn't give me much of a "empty land" vibe. I disagree with you here.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. Gergely Svigruha‏ @gsvigruha May 1
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @CRobska

      Yes but that's my point! It was empty lands, then entrepreneurship moved there after the gold rush, and now it's slowly changing as people are moving out California to Austin/Colorado/Arizona etc.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart May 1
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      Replying to @gsvigruha @CRobska

      I’m still at work and have to finish that but I think you’re overly focused on a partially explanatory variable

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. Gergely Svigruha‏ @gsvigruha May 1
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @CRobska

      Quite possible. FWIW i don't think this explains everything but there does seem to be (to me) an overall life cycle of societies. As I said on the other thread I think any fix for the US would include internalizing this colonizing->building->declining cycle within the country.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart May 1
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      Replying to @gsvigruha @CRobska

      China seems like an extremely strong counterexample.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Gergely Svigruha‏ @gsvigruha May 1
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @CRobska

      You sure? Country was totally destroyed under Mao. It's been building from almost scratch since.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart May 1
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      Replying to @gsvigruha @CRobska

      Okay we need to define variables. Are we talking empty lands in a abstract or concrete sense because housing in China is impossibly expensive and has been for a while

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Gergely Svigruha‏ @gsvigruha May 1
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @CRobska

      Mostly abstract as per @Pete21083's reply. Concrete either historically because before the industrial revolution there was not much else but land, or during a complete rebuilt like China after Mao or EU after WWII when you sort of made a country empty.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart May 1
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      Replying to @gsvigruha @CRobska @Pete21083

      1. Land prices. I don't think cheap land is all that important. Plus, it tends to be correlated with lack of economy dynamism. Even after controlling for that, it doesn't matter. Sure SV is more expensive today than 10 years ago, but 10 years ago it was fucking expensive!

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart May 1
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @gsvigruha and

      The most valuable new companies in the world are getting build where land is expensive, not cheap. When you raise the type of money necessary to build a billion dollar startup you can pay $10k/month in personal rent.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart May 1
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @gsvigruha and

      2. Cheap land in the abstract sense. One of the most powerful, replicate-able effects in psychology is anchoring. This manifests itself in effort and ambition. Whether it's an immigrant who sees how much more he earns per hour in America vs. his home country or a 1st generation

      3:05 PM - 1 May 2020
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        2. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart May 1
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          Replying to @Molson_Hart @gsvigruha and

          American, seeing how much better off he is than his parents who toiled, day-in and day-out in their laundromat so he could be the first in his family to attend an ivy league school. That matters a lot for motivation. It might be driving China's resurgence now in fact.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart May 1
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          Replying to @Molson_Hart @gsvigruha and

          So, yeah it overlaps with the venn diagram of "empty lands" both abstract and concrete but I feel like there are better ways to explain it, especially with the haigui or 海龟 or sea turtle phenomenon. Chinese are going back to China from the USA to build wealth.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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