Let’s talk about Sweden and the coronavirus. While it’s easy to find pictures of galavanting Swedes (publication bias) it’s hard to get real data that gives a sense of what’s happening on the ground there. Happy to be corrected, but it looks like a fairly tough lockdown.
First I think 40% is way too high. All these serological tests have sampling error problems and Sweden, with its sensitive groups being shut in would be particularly bad. Also, given how many deaths we have seen, 40% is unrealistic. Lastly, even if it is 40%, your remaining 60%
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Is the most vulnerable because it’s all old and sick people. I’m standing by the “Sweden, overhyped solution” thesis.
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Some apparent supporting data. The guys description of it is a bit misleading when you look at the graph however.https://twitter.com/dkthomp/status/1256961177290182656?s=21 …https://twitter.com/DKThomp/status/1256961177290182656 …
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I mean 40% today. That test is quite old and the virus had a lot of time to spread. That's kind of my point, if Sweden is to be believed, this is far less deadly than we thought.
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Everything I’ve seen suggests it’s pretty deadly, from anecdotes of doctors to closed door situations like cruise ships to people I know who’ve had it. The people who say it’s not that deadly tend to have never seen it or are basing it off biased serological studies.
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