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Let’s talk about Sweden and the coronavirus. While it’s easy to find pictures of galavanting Swedes (publication bias) it’s hard to get real data that gives a sense of what’s happening on the ground there. Happy to be corrected, but it looks like a fairly tough lockdown.
Sweden’s no lockdown lockdown: - sporting events cancelled - no gatherings over 50 - restaurants and bars open but have been closed for not following social distancing measures - restrictions in public transport (empty seats next to you on train)pic.twitter.com/MAIWCTLzx0
Daily “Trips” compared to week of feb 3 to feb 9 are down about 13%. Given that Sweden is likely lightless and miserable in early February I suspect that the year over year data is much much worse (from http://local.se article)pic.twitter.com/saRN7OyCSn
Their economy is also, just like everyone else’s, fucked. Yeah it doesn’t help that everyone around them has a strict lockdown (more strict?) but still. They’ve had to do bailouts like the rest of us. Further, while the infection and death data has been pretty muted, it still
does not look sustainable. I don’t know how fast people are recovering and how much warmer weather and sunlight does to this bug but yeah...this to me does not look good. We all know deaths are on a time lag so when the young people go out they come home and kill their relatives.pic.twitter.com/Ev6wkcBXzv
So in summary, while Sweden seems to be doing pretty well it’s not some sort of free Scandinavian no lockdown paradise. It’s also definitely not a solution to the economy. America ain’t taiwan so we might as well try it but it’s also important to remember Swedes are probably way
better at distancing and being respectful of others space than Americans are. So, Sweden’s policy is mostly an overhyped pseudo solution but at this point it doesn’t matter. It’s where we’re headed anyways.
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