Assuming no vaccine for 18 months, what new retail niches will emerge?
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Obviously restaurants can’t work until there is a vaccine. You can’t be in an enclosed space with strangers and you can’t eat through a mask. Do restaurants start to be configured more like Chinese-style / private rooms with negative air pressure? Or outdoor spaced patios?
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Same with bars. Though social distancing is much harder there. And kind of goes against the whole idea of bars as you’re there to be around people who are also drinking. Do outside
@thefriendlyspot-style venues become even more popular?3 replies 0 retweets 3 likesShow this thread -
Gyms seem a nonstarter. I’m at a loss as to how those places cope without a rethink. In person yoga for ex is a nonstarter. I’ve done Bikram-style and the “Social distance” there is 18 inches sometimes with 50 people in a tiny room. Same for martial arts, Orange Theory, etc.
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Open coworking seems done for now, too. Enclosed space with random people coming and going? Can’t make that a viable business except in the case of WeWork-style subletting of individual offices — though I wouldn’t declare that safe without a rebuild of the interior.
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Michael Girdley Retweeted Scott Gottlieb, MD
More about the idea that outdoors is much much safer than indoors.https://twitter.com/ScottGottliebMD/status/1253321483402674178?s=20 …
Michael Girdley added,
Scott Gottlieb, MDVerified account @ScottGottliebMDNew: Study of 318 outbreaks in China found transmission occurred out-of-doors in only one, involving just 2 cases. Most occurred in home or public transport. Raises key chance for states to move services outdoors (religious, gym classes, restaurants, etc). https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.04.20053058v1 … pic.twitter.com/Z5n1b52h8V2 replies 0 retweets 6 likesShow this thread -
Michael Girdley Retweeted SafeGraph
Interesting in predicting what's coming back first in reopening. https://twitter.com/SafeGraph/status/1252016247044214785?s=20 … Movie theatres seem higher in the danger factor than that, I think.
Michael Girdley added,
SafeGraph @SafeGraphTo figure out which types of stores to open first,@NYGovCuomo posted a 2x2 grid of location importance vs. transmission risk. But what types of places should go in each bin? Using@SafeGraph foot traffic data, team from MIT -@SBenzell,@avi_collis,@CNicolaides - get us answers pic.twitter.com/76SxWXbe2vShow this thread2 replies 0 retweets 2 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @mgirdley
I just went through all of the replies. I don’t know if it’s a failure of imagination or a testament to how dire the situation is, but it doesn’t look like retail will be back to normal for a long time.
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Replying to @Molson_Hart
I don’t think it will be back to normal until there is a vaccine or real test and trace. Agreed.
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Replying to @mgirdley
That is what China is showing.
7:07 AM - 24 Apr 2020
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