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Molson_Hart's profile
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
@Molson_Hart

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Molson Hart

@Molson_Hart

CEO at http://amazon.com/viahart . CEO at http://edisonlf.com . I tweet about business, e-commerce, supply chain, health, law, & infrastructure

Austin, TX
Joined July 2015

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    1. Buck Sexton‏Verified account @BuckSexton Apr 18
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      Got hit so much worse than others. Commuters from outer Queens and Brooklyn spend far more time, and come into contact with far more stops (more people getting on and off) than those who are taking the subway 3 or 4 stops in Manhattan or from Brooklyn Heights to Wall Street

      11 replies 312 retweets 1,017 likes
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    2. Buck Sexton‏Verified account @BuckSexton Apr 18
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      When you look at the train workers union data, there’s no question that the subways were an awful risk for covid spread. TWU has 3 times the infection rate of the worst hit zip codes in all nyc. Also explains why NYC has a pandemic, and LA has far less of a problem

      22 replies 357 retweets 1,202 likes
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    3. Buck Sexton‏Verified account @BuckSexton Apr 18
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      So New Yorkers like me who spent a lot of time on the subway (for the month of February, was on 4 times a day, 10-15 minutes a ride) were at lesser risk because of shorter rides and fewer stops than those who who were coming in from 45 minutes away 2 times a day from QNs/BK/BX

      13 replies 287 retweets 1,046 likes
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    4. Buck Sexton‏Verified account @BuckSexton Apr 18
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      So once the subway lines had already help spread this disease to 10,000s of NYC residents, the city authorities told everyone to lockdown at home Queens and Brooklyn have a huge number of multigenerational families living under one roof Such Intra-familial spread can be lethal

      79 replies 495 retweets 1,574 likes
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    5.  ❤️D wears a mask 🇺🇸‏ @Di8082 Apr 18
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      Replying to @BuckSexton

      So how is this fixed? I don’t see how NYC opens up without changing transportation system.

      4 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. David Orr‏ @orrdavid Apr 18
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      Replying to @Di8082 @BuckSexton

      NYC is probably already a good chunk of the way to herd immunity. Masks will help a lot. Probably don't need that much else to finish herd immunity, without overwhelming hospitals.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Apr 19
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      Replying to @orrdavid @Di8082 @BuckSexton

      No way close. See the other studies. Netherlands, Italy, Wuhan all were 3% infected.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. David Orr‏ @orrdavid Apr 19
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @Di8082 @BuckSexton

      We'll know soon.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Apr 19
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      Replying to @orrdavid @Di8082 @BuckSexton

      Not in america lol we’re so incompetent

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. David Orr‏ @orrdavid Apr 19
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @Di8082 @BuckSexton

      Some competent people will run reliable antibody tests within a couple weeks. I think there's a solid chance that a city like Stockholm will show 15%+ of the population had it already. Which means this isn't nearly as deadly as we thought.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Apr 19
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      Replying to @orrdavid @Di8082 @BuckSexton

      I think we have a pretty good read on how deadly this thing is and it's bad if you're old or diabetic (probably 10x the flu, at least 5x) and mostly fine if you're not.

      7:59 AM - 19 Apr 2020
      3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2.  ❤️D wears a mask 🇺🇸‏ @Di8082 Apr 19
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          Replying to @Molson_Hart @orrdavid @BuckSexton

          It can leave you with permanent lung damage even if you survive just fine. We’re only beginning to understand what it does. Scary part to me is the possible neurological effects.pic.twitter.com/YyCUmND5PS

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. David Orr‏ @orrdavid Apr 19
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          Replying to @Di8082 @Molson_Hart @BuckSexton

          Do you know what % has permanent lung damage after, and the age skew on it?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. 7 more replies
        1. David Orr‏ @orrdavid Apr 19
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          Replying to @Molson_Hart @Di8082 @BuckSexton

          SK claims they contained it with test and trace. For that to work, most people that got it must have been tested. If so, CFR in SK is 2.3%. Very high. On the other hand, Iceland is at .5% and some positives could be missed because it's rural. Very low.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. David Orr‏ @orrdavid Apr 19
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          Replying to @Molson_Hart @Di8082 @BuckSexton

          SK's numbers are particularly hard to believe when the age skew of positive tests was so low and we have CDC data or that healthcare sample set showing young people die way less often. I don't really believe SK anymore, but not fully sure still.

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