“What strategy is correct for the coronavirus?” is the wrong question. You can’t answer that before answering: 1) what level of competence/restraint will we see from our federal government? 2) what is an acceptable amount of death of old and senesitive populations?
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20% of the 82% will be hospitalized. Then 1-10% of the 20% will die.
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CFR will end up being maybe .5% or so, that ballpark.
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