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The longer we do these restrictions, I suspect, the less people are going to care about the old and sensitive groups and the more they’ll care about the economy and themselves.
So in summary, there is a clear path to minimizing death, but the US wont pull it off between its laws, govt incompetence, and lack of sympathy for sensitive groups. We will do some half-asses herd immunity thing and the exposed sadly will be in our “thoughts and prayers”.
/END P.S. This graph shows clearly how each successive lockdown delays the time to the next lockdown. There are strategies for us to take that can make death reduction tolerable! P.P.S. I'm petulant that this tweet got no likes or retweets hahahttps://twitter.com/Molson_Hart/status/1249140441364209664 …
Feels like momentum is building for this.https://twitter.com/CErcoliCBS2KCAL/status/1251253706676289536 …
There's a severe Y2K effect starting to kick in, where it's not as big a deal as it was projected to be, either because we did shut down or just because, so Joe Schmoe on the street is starting to look around and say "I'm out of work for this?"
Breaking news: people are idiots.
reached a similar conclusion myself. our institutions are so broken right now that I don't see us effectively implementing test and trace. Some groups of states may pull it off. Perhaps west coast and the tri state area. But even that feels unlikely.
There's a funny element too where the companies capable of building the software that powers test and trace want their names no where near it. ex: google.
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