I think right now we need a stricter national lockdown (the semi-strict lockdown hurts the economy almost as much as a stricter one, and gives not much more joy so we might as well just shift to a stricter one that kill the virus faster), but after that we can switch to one for
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That's part of it. I do think Singapore itself *might* be able to contain it if they keep borders closed for 18 months. But the fact that they failed the first time speaks volumes of what's going to happen elsewhere. If I thought it could be contained, I like your plan.
But they didn’t contain. They just contact traced. You need to do the testing thing that China was doing.
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My impression is they thought they had it contained, but then had outbreaks they couldn't account for. Constant mass testing might work, too, if it can be organized. That's still a hope. But what Sweden is doing seems to be working well, with very few new ICU cases/day.
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What’s the best article on Sweden? Taiwan seems to have contained it.
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Basically you need to have checkpoints everywhere looking for people who are positive that exist outside your contact tracing network. And then you need to isolate them and contacts after you find them. Singapore was not doing that afaik.
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