I think right now we need a stricter national lockdown (the semi-strict lockdown hurts the economy almost as much as a stricter one, and gives not much more joy so we might as well just shift to a stricter one that kill the virus faster), but after that we can switch to one for
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I was a lot more optimistic about that until Singapore had to lock down again; they couldn't figure out where new cases were coming from. Similarly Japan isn't controlling this either, though they're very dense. I think people will realize containment isn't an option soon.
Singapore afaict was not be strict enough with testing. They were just doing contact tracing well. I think my pinned tweet is not that bad for the economy. The problem is that it requires competence that the USA does not seem to have.
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That's part of it. I do think Singapore itself *might* be able to contain it if they keep borders closed for 18 months. But the fact that they failed the first time speaks volumes of what's going to happen elsewhere. If I thought it could be contained, I like your plan.
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But they didn’t contain. They just contact traced. You need to do the testing thing that China was doing.
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