Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?
    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
Molson_Hart's profile
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
@Molson_Hart

Tweets

Molson Hart

@Molson_Hart

CEO at http://amazon.com/viahart . CEO at http://edisonlf.com . I tweet about business, e-commerce, supply chain, health, law, & infrastructure

Austin, TX
Joined July 2015

Tweets

  • © 2020 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Imprint
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list

    Under 100 characters, optional
    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. Philippe Lemoine‏ @phl43 Mar 31
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      I'm going to get a lot of hate when I write that piece about the data on COVID-19 from China, but now more than ever I see that it has to be done 😌

      19 replies 3 retweets 110 likes
    2. «««Anatꙮly Karlin»»»‏ @akarlin88 Mar 31
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @phl43

      Spoilers? What's the take on the crematoria/urns theories?

      3 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    3. Philippe Lemoine‏ @phl43 Mar 31
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @akarlin88

      Lol this is total garbage. The one argument I find intriguing right now is that the data are not noisy enough, but so far all the people I've seen making this argument either didn't even try to do it even a little bit rigorously or they didn't try to do a similar analysis on the

      1 reply 1 retweet 13 likes
    4. Philippe Lemoine‏ @phl43 Mar 31
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @phl43 @akarlin88

      data from other countries to show that you could fit them with a simple model as neatly as the Chinese data. But without such a comparison, they haven't shown anything, so I'm suspending my judgment for now on this.

      1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
    5. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Mar 31
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @phl43 @akarlin88

      Molson Hart Retweeted Molson Hart

      See this thread. I think the Chinese numbers are bullshit so it sounds like we’re on opposing sides. https://twitter.com/molson_hart/status/1244633164074692615?s=21 …https://twitter.com/Molson_Hart/status/1244633164074692615 …

      Molson Hart added,

      Molson Hart @Molson_Hart
      Replying to @KaiserKuo
      My general feeling is that they're obviously bullshit. How bullshit they are is a question, but who cares? Let's just look at data from other countries at this point.
      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    6. Duke of Qin‏ @qin_duke Mar 31
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @Molson_Hart @phl43 @akarlin88

      That's because you are innumerate. It's exponential growth from a single number and not exponential growth from a percentage. The time it takes to reach 10000 from a base pop of 1 million is no different than 1 billion. The percentage of total pop infected will be different.

      1 reply 1 retweet 6 likes
    7. Duke of Qin‏ @qin_duke Mar 31
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @qin_duke @Molson_Hart and

      The 2nd issue is that the initial infection will grow faster in Italy than in China. Being at ground zero, Wuhan could only grow naturally. For Italy, patient zero could be augmented by patient 2 and 3 from China, patient 4 from Germany, patient 5 from Spain.

      1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
    8. Duke of Qin‏ @qin_duke Mar 31
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @qin_duke @Molson_Hart and

      Like the New York outbreak which blew up, the seeding wasn't one asymptomatic farmer from but probably hundreds coming in from Europe that went untested which is why it went super exponential.

      1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
      Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Mar 31
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @qin_duke @phl43 @akarlin88

      Your argument is circular. What you say about NYC or Italy, that patient 2 or 7 could create additional clusters which would accelerate the exponential growth there, also applies to 上海，北京，广州 etc. & it's reasonable to assume patient 2 & 7 went there before NYC or Italy.

      1:43 PM - 31 Mar 2020
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        1. Duke of Qin‏ @qin_duke Mar 31
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation
          Replying to @Molson_Hart @phl43 @akarlin88

          It would... Had those cities not been locked down a day after Wuhan.

          1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
        2. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Mar 31
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation
          Replying to @qin_duke @phl43 @akarlin88

          Your argument assumes that the country is totally water-tight in its control, not only domestically, but internationally (air, sea, and land). IMHO, that's mathematically impossible. Too many people, borders, interactions. Also, China didn't know what was happening in Italy.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. 15 more replies

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2020 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Imprint
        • Cookies
        • Ads info