- Asteroid - Solar volatility - Nuclear war - Nuclear terrorism - Bioweapons - Volcanic winter - Supervolcanos (i.e. Yellowstone) - China's rare-earth near-monopoly - Climate change - Hyperinflation - Prion pandemics - AI - Aliens - Cosmic rays
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When you list out all the existential threats to humanity, our Netflix-driven "live life for now" modern ethos seems comical. The most powerful economic nation really needs to start thinking about the future.
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Molson Hart Retweeted Molson Hart
It’s not average age that matters. It’s the percent of population over 60 that will really determines death rates in a state. Florida is in trouble. https://twitter.com/molson_hart/status/1244269289927999488?s=21 …https://twitter.com/Molson_Hart/status/1244269289927999488 …
Molson Hart added,
Molson Hart @Molson_HartReplying to @mgirdley @DailyPamphletState A is 40% 80 yo and 60% 30 yo has an average age of 50. State B is 100% age 55 has an older average. If mortality rate is 10% for 80 yo, 2% for 55 yo, 0.1% for 30 yo, State A loses 4.6% of its population while state B loses 2% despite having a higher average age.2 replies 0 retweets 1 likeShow this thread -
Not locking down your country in the face of the coronavirus so that you can keep your economy going is like shooting the moon in hearts when you've never played hearts before. h/t
@spwells for the articlehttps://www.straitstimes.com/world/americas/president-bolsonaro-visits-market-to-press-need-to-keep-brazil-going-during?xtor=CS3-18&utm_source=STiPhone&utm_medium=share&utm_term=2020-03-30%209%3A03%3A17 …1 reply 0 retweets 2 likesShow this thread -
Simple 3 Step Strategy to Stop the Coronavirus in the United Stateshttps://medium.com/@molson_hart/what-the-united-states-needs-to-do-in-order-to-stop-the-coronavirus-in-the-us-ada0b674a31 …
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Replying to @Molson_Hart
I think we’ll end up doing something along these lines. Testing people before they can go into the mall / grocery store means we need really fast tests that don’t require a doctor. China did it with just temperature checks, so maybe some compromise there or better tests needed
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Replying to @davidgshort
First of all, we basically get 3-4 weeks to get that going via the total shutdown. I think there are tests that can do this in a few hours now. China put people into special coronavirus isolation wards while they waited for test results, we could try similar.
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Replying to @Molson_Hart @davidgshort
They put them all together in the same room as they waited- perhaps we should altar that part of it...
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Replying to @HCashny @davidgshort
Yeah that's a good point, but definitely better than letting them go back home.
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Replying to @Molson_Hart @davidgshort
Yeah, maybe separate rooms/pods. Cuomo, to his credit, confided at press conference that he thinks quarantine they recommended may have had net negative impact as it forced young carriers into small confines with older family members. Everyone flying blind-many Monday morning QBs
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Good point by Cuomo, but what else do you do there? Very tough.
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Replying to @Molson_Hart @davidgshort
Tough. Accurate, quick home testing will be huge help- soon, I hope. I also read some research (but can't find it now) yesterday that implied SARS2 high R0 indoors and negligible R0 outdoors. Need to find...
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