That is completely wrong. Pop SK = 51 million, they have 10k cases. Pop Italy = 61 million, they have 100k China equivalent would be roughly 300k and 2.5 million respectively. The most recent case data is also hilariously false. 0 cases excluding "imported" - give me a break.
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If you take the 10 countries on this graph that are not China total cases are about 530k. Their populations are together less than China's by a lot.pic.twitter.com/sp3pv4twA3
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Replying to @Molson_Hart @KaiserKuo
Counts not the same thing as ratios...any epidemiologist would tell you that unless you do population wide testing no one is going to have accurate counts. That doesn’t mean the numbers are “BS”.
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Replying to @gonglei89 @KaiserKuo
I'm giving you ratios and counts. Thats why I gave you pops. 闭嘴,你不对
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Replying to @Molson_Hart @KaiserKuo
No one’s counts are accurate for actual number of cases because no one’s done population wide epidemic survey yet. That’s why we look at ratios, because they give us idea of whether sampling is biasing up or down. If you’re deliberately fudging numbers makes no sense to bias up.
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Replying to @gonglei89 @KaiserKuo
Actually, Iceland has come very close. They have tested more than any other country on a per capita basis (~3.5% of population). They have 1086 cases and a population of 375,000, which would put a China equivalent number at a little more than 4 million. 3.5% is enough.pic.twitter.com/DnzNgEQZLD
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Replying to @Molson_Hart @KaiserKuo
Not every country is going to have the same proportion of spread relative to a population. It depends on how early they detect clusters and how rigorously they exercise containment measures.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @gonglei89 @KaiserKuo
Correct, but in the context of all the video evidence of bodies, people being welded into their homes, massive sprays, nationwide shutdowns, it's pretty obvious that the problem got worse in China than Iceland so far.
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Replying to @Molson_Hart @KaiserKuo
Or, it’s obvious that China took the idea of trying to contain this thing a lot more seriously than other countries, so all the scary harsh measures people sensationalized outside of China actually worked to keep the spread of infection down?
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Replying to @gonglei89 @KaiserKuo
Yeah maybe all those yellow body bags are just the new fashionable duffel bag! Maybe the reports of crematoriums running continuously were just guys doing some carnivorous barbecue or something. Maybe China has cured the virus and that's why they have no new cases despite having
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borders with like 17 other countries and tons of flights. I forgot that China can just cast a magical spell to make thsi infectious disease disappear. The chinese numbers are obviously fake. It's just a question of how fake.
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