Iceland mass testing-> estimates 1% COVID+ and 0.25% CFR. Cruise ship data yields similar results. Are these results applicable to wider world?
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I said Iceland was 0.25% CFR (& likely lower IFR). Cruise ship IFR is *prob* substantially lower than the estimates being popularly cited, especially a few wks ago but also now: CFR 0.12% for 60-69, 0.84% 70-79 (IFR lower). ZERO deaths below 60-69 age grp.
I don't know what IFR is. Back to my original point, if you had a country that had a age breakdown that looked similar to the cruise ship (don't forget the young crew), then you're going to get a similar mortality rate (1.4% so far on diamond princess).
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Cruise #'s include crew and still skews old. Ten people died- none below 60-69 bracket, many in 80's. We don't know exactly WHY they died. IFR= infection fatality rate. We don't know infected#- eg, how many had SARS-Cov-2 which causes COVID-19- only who tested+ at certain time.
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I think we do know actually. They tested everyone on the ship.
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