Iceland mass testing-> estimates 1% COVID+ and 0.25% CFR. Cruise ship data yields similar results. Are these results applicable to wider world?
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I think the link attached is more recent and more thorough. IFR is better than CFR. But, even CFR should be adjusted for avg age as well as probability of death sans Corona (not trivial when dealing w 70+/unhealthy). Also all deaths w comorbidities not necessarily caused by COVID
So basically there is no CFR for the coronavirus. There is a CFR for your age group. And then, really, there is a CFR for your age group + comorbidities. In any case, this study is not saying 0.25%. It's saying, AFAICT, higher than that. Further, people on that boat may still die
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I said Iceland was 0.25% CFR (& likely lower IFR). Cruise ship IFR is *prob* substantially lower than the estimates being popularly cited, especially a few wks ago but also now: CFR 0.12% for 60-69, 0.84% 70-79 (IFR lower). ZERO deaths below 60-69 age grp.
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I don't know what IFR is. Back to my original point, if you had a country that had a age breakdown that looked similar to the cruise ship (don't forget the young crew), then you're going to get a similar mortality rate (1.4% so far on diamond princess).
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, which would raise the CFR.
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