Iceland mass testing-> estimates 1% COVID+ and 0.25% CFR. Cruise ship data yields similar results. Are these results applicable to wider world?
Cruise ship is different from Iceland. Cfr higher than Iceland by a lot. No they are not applicable.
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Ship pop skewed old &largest age group 70-80, some of whom wld be expected to die in this time regardless. Count of infected also underestimated missing people who may have already fought it off (part of IFR). Ship IFR prob < 0.5%https://www.nicholaslewis.org/covid-19-updated-data-implies-that-uk-modelling-hugely-overestimates-the-expected-death-rates-from-infection/ …
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I have a long thread on this. Search diamond princess
@Molson_Hart - 9 more replies
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