Molson Hart

Strong supporting evidence that the Chinese numbers are fake (duh). Increasing evidence that the virus is ramping up again in China after loosening of restricts. Going to be a very long year folks.https://twitter.com/cowboyInNY/status/1243541979138580481 …

I'm generally of the opinion that the economic stimulus is not going to work as well as people are hoping. Basically, the idea is: no amount of money or gift cards, whatever, will create the impulse to buy a cruise ticket or go to a restaurant.

It's important to know that things like this happen. 1945-2020 was an unusually good period in the West. Almost no hardship or big disasters. How much stimulus do we pump into the system when we don't get a summer? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_Without_a_Summer …

If this is true, NYC is going to get wiped out by this bug. 50% positive rate? Must be a ton of undiagnosed cases. https://twitter.com/antonioregalado/status/1243626438500192263 …

I'm pretty blown away right now. I see videos of people on subways in NYC and that city is not taking nearly the precautions they need to. NYC might, real talk, be worse than Wuhan soon.

Assuming the virus does not cause recurring infection or mutate regularly like the flu, a country which reaches herd immunity first has a huge advantage in war. Medical supply chain is another wartime advantage. Coronavirus will be a catalyst for invasion or revolution somewhere.

After this crisis passes we will at least pay lip service to revamping our medical supply chain. We'll probably do something very incompetently. But as a nation we won't think generally about the next risk. What are the other existential threats to humanity that we are ignoring?