Hard to get worse than a full one-month lockdown. How does the newsflow deteriorate from here?
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Replying to @svrnco
Yes. Markets react to incremental information. They've kept selling off as the containment measures keep getting worse. They can't get much worse. In addition, containment measures will soon (already tentatively are) start to flow through to lower patient volumes & deaths.
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Replying to @LT3000Lyall
The odds of catastrophic economic news have gone way up. Don't underestimate the nonlinear effects of having extremely sharp demand shocks worldwide. We're going to see more blow ups, more fragility exposed. Financial contagion is possible.
3 replies 0 retweets 11 likes -
Replying to @svrnco @LT3000Lyall
Yeah, agree with Sam. India’s just revving up now (113 cases), among many other serious problems.
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
Contagion is likely even with bailouts, imho.
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